Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.063385 0.073727 0.085055 0.098359 0.113534 0.130278 0.150127
2025-02-09 0.045196 0.058174 0.073706 0.093571 0.118201 0.147627 0.185327
2025-02-16 0.034437 0.048525 0.066759 0.091878 0.125337 0.168090 0.226529
2025-02-23 0.026497 0.040567 0.060121 0.088913 0.129771 0.185135 0.265159
2025-03-02 0.020996 0.034689 0.054996 0.086743 0.134405 0.202404 0.305592
2025-03-09 0.017590 0.031138 0.052437 0.087555 0.142955 0.225624 0.356448
2025-03-16 0.014239 0.026956 0.048105 0.084797 0.145457 0.239866 0.395221
2025-03-23 0.012779 0.025646 0.048111 0.088820 0.158851 0.271774 0.463759
2025-03-30 0.011054 0.023507 0.046315 0.089444 0.166553 0.295202 0.520859
2025-04-06 0.009279 0.020911 0.043258 0.087330 0.169156 0.310281 0.565411
2025-04-13 0.007891 0.018803 0.040745 0.085778 0.172412 0.326531 0.613083
2025-04-20 0.007347 0.018361 0.041379 0.090236 0.187058 0.363797 0.700125
2025-04-27 0.006782 0.017796 0.041742 0.094324 0.201692 0.402801 0.794460
2025-05-04 0.005696 0.015811 0.038813 0.091309 0.202177 0.415932 0.843100
2025-05-11 0.004941 0.014461 0.037044 0.090470 0.206876 0.437351 0.908940
2025-05-18 0.004192 0.012958 0.034673 0.087956 0.207763 0.451392 0.961806
2025-05-25 0.003592 0.011713 0.032692 0.086015 0.209582 0.467329 1.019551
2025-06-01 0.003225 0.011034 0.031983 0.086928 0.217704 0.496671 1.106226
2025-06-08 0.002742 0.009899 0.029913 0.084242 0.217373 0.508352 1.157799
2025-06-15 0.002599 0.009778 0.030505 0.088270 0.232987 0.555162 1.285836
2025-06-22 0.002340 0.009222 0.029814 0.088905 0.240615 0.585272 1.380797
2025-06-29 0.002021 0.008384 0.028177 0.086810 0.241372 0.600233 1.444281
2025-07-06 0.001763 0.007685 0.026822 0.085270 0.243306 0.617951 1.515059